Title: PLANNING OF FUTURE TRAFFIC SYSTEMS - STATUS AND CONSEQUENCES. STUDIES IN THREE SWEDISH CITIES
Abstract: The report describes the results of a series of scenario studies for the year 2000 in three Swedish cities with 40-80 thousand inhabitants. The aim is to illustrate the effects of urban land use and transport policies on future travel patterns, energy consumption and the standard of travel. The effects of petrol prices are discussed. Different methods of analysis are shown to yield consistently different results, but it is concluded that the price elasticity and private car travel ought to be in order of size 0.5-0.6 in the short range and 0.2-0.3 in the long range. This and other variables, such as the economic development, urban density and the standard of public transport, were used as input to the studies. Assumptions regarding the economic development were shown to affect the amount of vehicle km by car with as much as 50%. However, the supposition of economic depression did not produce more public transport trips than the assumption of a moderate growth. The higher urban densities produced about the same number of car trips, but the energy consumption and time spent on travel was reduced by 5-10%. Finally some results are discussed in detail, with particular reference to their applications in urban land use and transportation planning. (TRRL)
Publication Year: 1983
Publication Date: 1983-01-01
Language: en
Type: article
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