Title: DEVELOPMENT OF PASSENGER TRANSPORT, FORECAST FOR 2010
Abstract: SIKA has been commissioned by the Government to make regular forecasts on future goods and passenger transport. This report presents the forecasts for passenger transport in Sweden for 2010 and extrapolated to 2020. The most important differences in the new forecasts for 2010 compared with the forecasts for 1999 is that important assumptions on employment and car ownership have been updated between the forecasts. The National Institute of Economic Research has also contributed new forecast prerequisites in the form of a new forecast for economic development until 2020. On this basis, SIKA has produced a totally new forecast for transport development up to 2020. The car is the predominant mode of transport for passenger transport in Sweden. The forecast results show a continued large increase in car transport, by approximately 2 per cent per year until 2010 and after that a strong, although considerably more moderate increase until 2020 by approximately 1.2 per cent per year. Train travel, in particular long-distance train travel, also increases greatly until 2010 as does air travel. In all, passenger transport performance is expected to increase by 24 per cent or 30 billion passenger kilometres between 1997 and 2010. (A) This report is also available electronically via Internet at http://www.sika-institute.se/utgivning/2002_1.html
Publication Year: 2002
Publication Date: 2002-01-01
Language: en
Type: article
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