Title: Development and Use of CarCarbon Baseline Scenario for an Alternative Vehicle & Fuel Choice Model with Energy & Emissions Analysis Outputs
Abstract: This report presents the results of the third year of study by a research team at the Center for Energy and Environmental Policy, University of Delaware, funded by a grant by the BP Foundation. The purpose of this study is to examine the climate change implications of the introduction of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles into the U.S. transportation sector. The previously developed first year report focused on how state policy interacts with the developing hydrogen economy. The second year report created a modeling tool to quantitatively measure the carbon impacts of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles on U.S. fleets. (Waegel et al, 2006b; Waegel et al, 2005) This third year report presents a more complex and flexible model intended to handle a large range of vehicles, fuels and technologies and corresponding policy scenarios. The model, dubbed CarCarbon, can be used as a projection tool to shed light on the future of vehicular transportation. Specifically, CarCarbon provides projections regarding types of vehicles people will be driving in future years and the effect these vehicles will have on carbon dioxide emissions and energy consumption. The model relies on a number of attributes, such as vehicle ownership growth, fuel economy trends, the price of fuels, and many others in order to create a projection of market demand for various vehicle technologies, such as gas-electric hybrids, gasoline internal combustion engines (ICEs), or hydrogen fuel cell vehicles. The market demand for the various technologies is combined with the expected growth rate of the vehicle ownership each year in order to create a 25-year annual “snapshot” representative of the on-road vehicle population. With this data, it is possible to predict the emissions of the vehicle population in each year and the amount of fuel being consumed.
Publication Year: 2007
Publication Date: 2007-01-01
Language: en
Type: article
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