Get quick answers to your questions about the article from our AI researcher chatbot
{'id': 'https://openalex.org/W2808432023', 'doi': 'https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180034', 'title': 'Exploring Magnitude Forecasting of the Next Earthquake', 'display_name': 'Exploring Magnitude Forecasting of the Next Earthquake', 'publication_year': 2018, 'publication_date': '2018-06-13', 'ids': {'openalex': 'https://openalex.org/W2808432023', 'doi': 'https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180034', 'mag': '2808432023'}, 'language': 'en', 'primary_location': {'is_oa': False, 'landing_page_url': 'https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180034', 'pdf_url': None, 'source': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/S183957208', 'display_name': 'Seismological Research Letters', 'issn_l': '0895-0695', 'issn': ['0895-0695', '1938-2057'], 'is_oa': False, 'is_in_doaj': False, 'is_core': True, 'host_organization': 'https://openalex.org/P4310316854', 'host_organization_name': 'Seismological Society of America', 'host_organization_lineage': ['https://openalex.org/P4310316854'], 'host_organization_lineage_names': ['Seismological Society of America'], 'type': 'journal'}, 'license': None, 'license_id': None, 'version': None, 'is_accepted': False, 'is_published': False}, 'type': 'article', 'type_crossref': 'journal-article', 'indexed_in': ['crossref'], 'open_access': {'is_oa': False, 'oa_status': 'closed', 'oa_url': None, 'any_repository_has_fulltext': False}, 'authorships': [{'author_position': 'first', 'author': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/A5008938274', 'display_name': 'Yosihiko Ogata', 'orcid': 'https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5953-2034'}, 'institutions': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/I4210134673', 'display_name': 'The Institute of Statistical Mathematics', 'ror': 'https://ror.org/03jcejr58', 'country_code': 'JP', 'type': 'facility', 'lineage': ['https://openalex.org/I1319490839', 'https://openalex.org/I4210134673', 'https://openalex.org/I4210158934']}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/I74801974', 'display_name': 'The University of Tokyo', 'ror': 'https://ror.org/057zh3y96', 'country_code': 'JP', 'type': 'education', 'lineage': ['https://openalex.org/I74801974']}], 'countries': ['JP'], 'is_corresponding': True, 'raw_author_name': 'Yosihiko Ogata', 'raw_affiliation_strings': ['Also at Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo‐Ku, Tokyo, Japan.', 'The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Inter‐University Research Institute Corporation, 10‐3, Midori‐Cho, Tachikawa, Tokyo 190‐8562, Japan, [email protected]'], 'affiliations': [{'raw_affiliation_string': 'The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Inter‐University Research Institute Corporation, 10‐3, Midori‐Cho, Tachikawa, Tokyo 190‐8562, Japan, [email protected]', 'institution_ids': ['https://openalex.org/I4210134673']}, {'raw_affiliation_string': 'Also at Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo‐Ku, Tokyo, Japan.', 'institution_ids': ['https://openalex.org/I74801974']}]}, {'author_position': 'middle', 'author': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/A5048426753', 'display_name': 'Koichi Katsura', 'orcid': None}, 'institutions': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/I4210134673', 'display_name': 'The Institute of Statistical Mathematics', 'ror': 'https://ror.org/03jcejr58', 'country_code': 'JP', 'type': 'facility', 'lineage': ['https://openalex.org/I1319490839', 'https://openalex.org/I4210134673', 'https://openalex.org/I4210158934']}], 'countries': ['JP'], 'is_corresponding': True, 'raw_author_name': 'Koichi Katsura', 'raw_affiliation_strings': ['The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Inter‐University Research Institute Corporation, 10‐3, Midori‐Cho, Tachikawa, Tokyo 190‐8562, Japan, [email protected]'], 'affiliations': [{'raw_affiliation_string': 'The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Inter‐University Research Institute Corporation, 10‐3, Midori‐Cho, Tachikawa, Tokyo 190‐8562, Japan, [email protected]', 'institution_ids': ['https://openalex.org/I4210134673']}]}, {'author_position': 'middle', 'author': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/A5058205003', 'display_name': 'Hiroshi Tsuruoka', 'orcid': 'https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7691-9249'}, 'institutions': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/I74801974', 'display_name': 'The University of Tokyo', 'ror': 'https://ror.org/057zh3y96', 'country_code': 'JP', 'type': 'education', 'lineage': ['https://openalex.org/I74801974']}], 'countries': ['JP'], 'is_corresponding': False, 'raw_author_name': 'Hiroshi Tsuruoka', 'raw_affiliation_strings': ['Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, 1‐1‐1, Yayoi, Bunkyo‐Ku, Tokyo 113‐0032, Japan'], 'affiliations': [{'raw_affiliation_string': 'Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, 1‐1‐1, Yayoi, Bunkyo‐Ku, Tokyo 113‐0032, Japan', 'institution_ids': ['https://openalex.org/I74801974']}]}, {'author_position': 'last', 'author': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/A5022510388', 'display_name': 'Naoshi Hirata', 'orcid': 'https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4439-5388'}, 'institutions': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/I74801974', 'display_name': 'The University of Tokyo', 'ror': 'https://ror.org/057zh3y96', 'country_code': 'JP', 'type': 'education', 'lineage': ['https://openalex.org/I74801974']}], 'countries': ['JP'], 'is_corresponding': False, 'raw_author_name': 'Naoshi Hirata', 'raw_affiliation_strings': ['Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, 1‐1‐1, Yayoi, Bunkyo‐Ku, Tokyo 113‐0032, Japan'], 'affiliations': [{'raw_affiliation_string': 'Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, 1‐1‐1, Yayoi, Bunkyo‐Ku, Tokyo 113‐0032, Japan', 'institution_ids': ['https://openalex.org/I74801974']}]}], 'institution_assertions': [], 'countries_distinct_count': 1, 'institutions_distinct_count': 2, 'corresponding_author_ids': ['https://openalex.org/A5008938274', 'https://openalex.org/A5048426753'], 'corresponding_institution_ids': ['https://openalex.org/I4210134673', 'https://openalex.org/I74801974', 'https://openalex.org/I4210134673'], 'apc_list': None, 'apc_paid': None, 'fwci': 1.248, 'has_fulltext': True, 'fulltext_origin': 'ngrams', 'cited_by_count': 14, 'citation_normalized_percentile': {'value': 0.999911, 'is_in_top_1_percent': True, 'is_in_top_10_percent': True}, 'cited_by_percentile_year': {'min': 88, 'max': 89}, 'biblio': {'volume': '89', 'issue': '4', 'first_page': '1298', 'last_page': '1304'}, 'is_retracted': False, 'is_paratext': False, 'primary_topic': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/T12424', 'display_name': 'Study of Earthquake Precursor Phenomena', 'score': 0.9979, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/1908', 'display_name': 'Geophysics'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/19', 'display_name': 'Earth and Planetary Sciences'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/3', 'display_name': 'Physical Sciences'}}, 'topics': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/T12424', 'display_name': 'Study of Earthquake Precursor Phenomena', 'score': 0.9979, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/1908', 'display_name': 'Geophysics'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/19', 'display_name': 'Earth and Planetary Sciences'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/3', 'display_name': 'Physical Sciences'}}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/T10110', 'display_name': 'Seismicity and Tectonic Plate Interactions', 'score': 0.9811, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/1908', 'display_name': 'Geophysics'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/19', 'display_name': 'Earth and Planetary Sciences'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/3', 'display_name': 'Physical Sciences'}}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/T11270', 'display_name': 'Econophysics: Complexity in Financial Markets', 'score': 0.9702, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/2002', 'display_name': 'Economics and Econometrics'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/20', 'display_name': 'Economics, Econometrics and Finance'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/2', 'display_name': 'Social Sciences'}}], 'keywords': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/corporation', 'display_name': 'Corporation', 'score': 0.6720301}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/earthquake-prediction-models', 'display_name': 'Earthquake Prediction Models', 'score': 0.567032}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/statistical-analysis', 'display_name': 'Statistical analysis', 'score': 0.5084438}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/seismic-activity-monitoring', 'display_name': 'Seismic Activity Monitoring', 'score': 0.507664}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/pre-earthquake-signals', 'display_name': 'Pre-earthquake Signals', 'score': 0.505693}], 'concepts': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/C2778348171', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q167037', 'display_name': 'Corporation', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.6720301}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C2986587452', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q938438', 'display_name': 'Statistical analysis', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.5084438}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C161191863', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q199655', 'display_name': 'Library science', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.39581954}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C205649164', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071', 'display_name': 'Geography', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.3302244}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C127413603', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023', 'display_name': 'Engineering', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.32910216}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C33923547', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395', 'display_name': 'Mathematics', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.1976991}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C41008148', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198', 'display_name': 'Computer science', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.19145209}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C17744445', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442', 'display_name': 'Political science', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.15989444}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C105795698', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483', 'display_name': 'Statistics', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.121003985}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C199539241', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748', 'display_name': 'Law', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.0}], 'mesh': [], 'locations_count': 1, 'locations': [{'is_oa': False, 'landing_page_url': 'https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180034', 'pdf_url': None, 'source': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/S183957208', 'display_name': 'Seismological Research Letters', 'issn_l': '0895-0695', 'issn': ['0895-0695', '1938-2057'], 'is_oa': False, 'is_in_doaj': False, 'is_core': True, 'host_organization': 'https://openalex.org/P4310316854', 'host_organization_name': 'Seismological Society of America', 'host_organization_lineage': ['https://openalex.org/P4310316854'], 'host_organization_lineage_names': ['Seismological Society of America'], 'type': 'journal'}, 'license': None, 'license_id': None, 'version': None, 'is_accepted': False, 'is_published': False}], 'best_oa_location': None, 'sustainable_development_goals': [], 'grants': [], 'datasets': [], 'versions': [], 'referenced_works_count': 38, 'referenced_works': ['https://openalex.org/W1518991574', 'https://openalex.org/W1527236937', 'https://openalex.org/W1831814921', 'https://openalex.org/W1966732583', 'https://openalex.org/W1973167214', 'https://openalex.org/W1984745123', 'https://openalex.org/W2019141636', 'https://openalex.org/W2028944227', 'https://openalex.org/W2032497526', 'https://openalex.org/W2042081284', 'https://openalex.org/W2052027499', 'https://openalex.org/W2052197092', 'https://openalex.org/W2076018521', 'https://openalex.org/W2079474677', 'https://openalex.org/W2087949916', 'https://openalex.org/W2099145216', 'https://openalex.org/W2100417716', 'https://openalex.org/W2122282526', 'https://openalex.org/W2124309824', 'https://openalex.org/W2124785206', 'https://openalex.org/W2125097653', 'https://openalex.org/W2132701709', 'https://openalex.org/W2145852790', 'https://openalex.org/W2158789244', 'https://openalex.org/W2170264528', 'https://openalex.org/W2172192324', 'https://openalex.org/W2172817371', 'https://openalex.org/W2328850413', 'https://openalex.org/W2335033536', 'https://openalex.org/W2496675475', 'https://openalex.org/W2594420594', 'https://openalex.org/W2622959704', 'https://openalex.org/W2731003373', 'https://openalex.org/W2991334258', 'https://openalex.org/W4212961835', 'https://openalex.org/W4237577254', 'https://openalex.org/W595429427', 'https://openalex.org/W613429283'], 'related_works': ['https://openalex.org/W4362520165', 'https://openalex.org/W2748952813', 'https://openalex.org/W2392209542', 'https://openalex.org/W2387973599', 'https://openalex.org/W2377378201', 'https://openalex.org/W2376288354', 'https://openalex.org/W2347674884', 'https://openalex.org/W2347523850', 'https://openalex.org/W1995891224', 'https://openalex.org/W1982059167'], 'abstract_inverted_index': {'Research': [0, 22, 34, 64, 90, 118, 153, 165, 182, 195, 210, 244, 297, 337], 'Article|': [1], 'June': [2], '13,': [3], '2018': [4, 231, 257], 'Exploring': [5, 289], 'Magnitude': [6, 290], 'Forecasting': [7, 291], 'of': [8, 18, 38, 60, 94, 122, 149, 169, 178, 199, 214, 225, 241, 292, 346, 349, 387, 396, 429, 445, 452, 486], 'the': [9, 293, 347, 350, 355, 362, 367, 393, 419, 430, 438, 471, 474, 479, 484, 490], 'Next': [10, 294], 'Earthquake': [11, 33, 164], 'Yosihiko': [12, 14, 145, 281], 'Ogata;': [13], 'Ogata': [15, 146], 'aThe': [16, 58, 147, 176], 'Institute': [17, 23, 59, 65, 148, 154, 177, 183], 'Statistical': [19, 61, 150, 179], 'Mathematics,': [20, 62, 151, 180], 'Inter‐University': [21, 63, 152, 181], 'Corporation,': [24, 66, 155, 184], '10‐3,': [25, 67, 156, 185], 'Midori‐Cho,': [26, 68, 157, 186], 'Tachikawa,': [27, 69, 158, 187], 'Tokyo': [28, 70, 99, 127, 159, 188, 204, 219], '190‐8562,': [29, 71, 160, 189], 'Japan,': [30, 72, 161, 190], '[email protected]': [31, 162], 'at': [32, 163, 462], 'Institute,': [35, 91, 119, 166, 196, 211], 'The': [36, 92, 120, 167, 197, 212, 411, 449], 'University': [37, 93, 121, 168, 198, 213], 'Tokyo,': [39, 41, 95, 123, 170, 172, 200, 215], 'Bunkyo‐Ku,': [40, 98, 126, 171, 203, 218], 'Japan.': [42, 173], 'Search': [43, 74, 102, 130, 278, 320, 327, 339, 341], 'for': [44, 75, 103, 131, 384, 407, 470], 'other': [45, 76, 104, 132], 'works': [46, 77, 105, 133], 'by': [47, 78, 106, 134, 416, 424, 492], 'this': [48, 79, 107, 135, 502], 'author': [49, 80, 108, 136], 'on:': [50, 81, 109, 137], 'GSW': [51, 82, 110, 138], 'Google': [52, 83, 111, 139], 'Scholar': [53, 84, 112, 140], 'Koichi': [54, 56, 174, 283], 'Katsura;': [55], 'Katsura': [57, 175], '[email protected]': [73, 191], 'Hiroshi': [85, 87, 192, 285], 'Tsuruoka;': [86], 'Tsuruoka': [88, 193], 'bEarthquake': [89, 117, 194, 209], '1‐1‐1,': [96, 124, 201, 216], 'Yayoi,': [97, 125, 202, 217], '113‐0032,': [100, 128, 205, 220], 'Japan': [101, 129, 206, 221, 372], 'Naoshi': [113, 115, 207, 287], 'Hirata': [114, 116, 208], 'Author': [141], 'and': [142, 402, 433, 437], 'Article': [143, 251], 'Information': [144], 'Publisher:': [222], 'Seismological': [223, 239, 243, 296], 'Society': [224, 240], 'America': [226, 242], 'First': [227, 253], 'Online:': [228, 254], '13': [229, 255], 'Jun': [230, 256], 'Online': [232], 'Issn:': [233, 236], '1938-2057': [234], 'Print': [235], '0895-0695': [237], '©': [238], 'Letters': [245, 298, 338], '(2018)': [246], '89': [247, 300], '(4):': [248, 301], '1298–1304.': [249, 302], 'https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180034': [250, 304], 'history': [252], 'Cite': [258], 'View': [259], 'This': [260, 399], 'Citation': [261, 264, 280], 'Add': [262], 'to': [263, 501, 506], 'Manager': [265], 'Share': [266, 268], 'Icon': [267, 274], 'Facebook': [269], 'Twitter': [270], 'LinkedIn': [271], 'MailTo': [272], 'Tools': [273, 275], 'Get': [276], 'Permissions': [277], 'Site': [279], 'Ogata,': [282], 'Katsura,': [284], 'Tsuruoka,': [286], 'Hirata;': [288], 'Earthquake.': [295], '2018;;': [299], 'doi:': [303], 'Download': [305], 'citation': [306], 'file:': [307], 'Ris': [308], '(Zotero)': [309], 'Refmanager': [310], 'EasyBib': [311], 'Bookends': [312], 'Mendeley': [313], 'Papers': [314], 'EndNote': [315], 'RefWorks': [316], 'BibTex': [317], 'toolbar': [318, 323], 'search': [319, 324, 325, 333], 'Dropdown': [321], 'Menu': [322], 'input': [326, 328], 'auto': [329], 'suggest': [330], 'filter': [331], 'your': [332, 507], 'All': [334], 'ContentBy': [335], 'SocietySeismological': [336], 'Advanced': [340], 'ABSTRACT': [342], 'Almost': [343], 'all': [344], 'forecasting': [345, 382, 450], 'magnitude': [348, 389, 409, 435], 'next': [351], 'earthquake': [352, 377, 397, 408], 'has': [353], 'assumed': [354], 'same': [356, 368], 'independent': [357], 'probability': [358], 'distribution,': [359], 'such': [360, 405], 'as': [361], 'Gutenberg–Richter': [363], '(G‐R)': [364], 'law,': [365], 'with': [366, 483], 'b‐value': [369, 485], '(\u2060b=0.9': [370], 'in': [371, 456, 465], 'region': [373], 'standard),': [374], 'throughout': [375], 'an': [376], 'sequence.': [378], 'Identifying': [379], 'a': [380, 457, 466], 'broadened': [381], 'procedure': [383], 'general': [385], 'models': [386, 406, 454], 'space–time': [388, 425], 'sequences': [390], 'may': [391], 'enhance': [392], 'information': [394], 'gain': [395], 'forecasts.': [398], 'article': [400], 'explores': [401], 'evaluates': [403], 'three': [404], 'forecasting.': [410], 'first': [412], 'model': [413, 421], 'forecasts': [414, 422, 440, 475], 'magnitudes': [415, 423], 'location‐dependent': [417], 'b‐values;': [418], 'second': [420], 'weighted': [426], 'moving': [427], 'average': [428], 'short‐term': [431, 443], 'past': [432], 'neighboring': [434], 'sequence;': [436], 'third': [439], 'based': [441], 'on': [442], 'tightness': [444], 'clustering': [446], 'among': [447], 'earthquakes.': [448], 'performances': [451], 'these': [453], 'estimated': [455], 'learning': [458], 'period': [459], 'are': [460], 'shown': [461], 'each': [463], 'time': [464], 'testing': [467], 'period.': [468], 'Except': [469], 'last': [472], 'example,': [473], 'do': [476, 497], 'not': [477, 498], 'outperform': [478], 'baseline': [480], 'G‐R': [481], 'law': [482], '0.9.': [487], 'We': [488], 'discuss': [489], 'reasons': [491], 'some': [493], 'residual': [494], 'analysis.': [495], 'You': [496], 'have': [499, 515], 'access': [500], 'content,': [503], 'please': [504], 'speak': [505], 'institutional': [508], 'administrator': [509], 'if': [510], 'you': [511, 513], 'feel': [512], 'should': [514], 'access.': [516]}, 'cited_by_api_url': 'https://api.openalex.org/works?filter=cites:W2808432023', 'counts_by_year': [{'year': 2024, 'cited_by_count': 2}, {'year': 2023, 'cited_by_count': 2}, {'year': 2022, 'cited_by_count': 2}, {'year': 2021, 'cited_by_count': 1}, {'year': 2020, 'cited_by_count': 2}, {'year': 2019, 'cited_by_count': 2}, {'year': 2018, 'cited_by_count': 3}], 'updated_date': '2024-09-16T11:26:57.956588', 'created_date': '2018-06-21'}