Title: Industrialization,Urbanization and Agricultural Modernization
Abstract: This paper studies the influence of industrialization and urbanization on agricultural modernization with a vector autoregression model,using yearly data from 1978 to 2010.It shows that the changes of the industrialization and urbanization are the Granger causes of that of the agricultural modernization,but the opposite is not true,that the effect of a unit shock from the urbanization or the industrialization on the change of the agricultural modernization lasts long,but the former is bigger,and that the change of the urbanization contributes more to that of the agricultural modernization than that of the industrialization in the variance decomposition.
Publication Year: 2012
Publication Date: 2012-01-01
Language: en
Type: article
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Cited By Count: 1
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