Title: Dynamic Analysis and Prediction of Cultivated Land Pressure in Inner Mongolia
Abstract: Based on the model of cultivated land pressure index,this research analyzed the change law of cultivated land pressure in Inner Mongolia since 1978,and combining with SPSS software,analyzed the change trend of future cultivated land pressure by using regression analysis method.The results showed that: the cultivated land area,the total output and the quantity per capita of grain had been increasing,the pressure index of cultivated land had trended to decrease obviously between 1981 and 2006;but in the coming 10 years,the pressure index of cultivated land will be increased and it will be up to 1 in 2017,and then the pressure index of cultivated land will be further increased that the Inner Mongolia will encounter the cultivated land crisis,which will severely affects its development of grain production.it also puts forward some measures for easing cultivated land pressure to ensure the grain security.
Publication Year: 2008
Publication Date: 2008-01-01
Language: en
Type: article
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