Title: Short-term Forecast and Long-term Trend Analysis of Urban-rural Income Gap in Gansu Province
Abstract: Since the reform and opening to the outside world,the urban-rural income gap measured by the ratio of per capita disposable income of urban and per capita net income of rural in Gansu Province has experienced a spiral development direction with alternative contraction and expansion.ARMA model predicts that in the short term,urban-rural income gap in Gansu Province tends to reduce generally,but will slightly rebound in the coming two or three years.Convergence analysis based on time series shows that the time series of per capita disposable income of urban and per capita net income of rural tends to converge,which means it tends to contract the income gap between urban and rural residents of Gansu Province in the long term.
Publication Year: 2012
Publication Date: 2012-01-01
Language: en
Type: article
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