Publication Information

{'id': 'https://openalex.org/W2296326587', 'doi': None, 'title': 'Nowcasting Real GDP growth in South Africa', 'display_name': 'Nowcasting Real GDP growth in South Africa', 'publication_year': 2016, 'publication_date': '2016-02-03', 'ids': {'openalex': 'https://openalex.org/W2296326587', 'mag': '2296326587'}, 'language': 'en', 'primary_location': {'is_oa': False, 'landing_page_url': 'http://www.econrsa.org/system/files/publications/working_papers/working_paper_581.pdf', 'pdf_url': None, 'source': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/S4306401271', 'display_name': 'RePEc: Research Papers in Economics', 'issn_l': None, 'issn': None, 'is_oa': True, 'is_in_doaj': False, 'is_core': False, 'host_organization': 'https://openalex.org/I77793887', 'host_organization_name': 'Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis', 'host_organization_lineage': ['https://openalex.org/I77793887'], 'host_organization_lineage_names': ['Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis'], 'type': 'repository'}, 'license': None, 'license_id': None, 'version': 'submittedVersion', 'is_accepted': False, 'is_published': False}, 'type': 'preprint', 'type_crossref': 'posted-content', 'indexed_in': [], 'open_access': {'is_oa': False, 'oa_status': 'closed', 'oa_url': None, 'any_repository_has_fulltext': False}, 'authorships': [{'author_position': 'first', 'author': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/A5020932846', 'display_name': 'Alain Kabundi', 'orcid': 'https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9094-6876'}, 'institutions': [], 'countries': [], 'is_corresponding': False, 'raw_author_name': 'Alain Kabundi', 'raw_affiliation_strings': [], 'affiliations': []}, {'author_position': 'middle', 'author': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/A5021656529', 'display_name': 'Elmarie Nel', 'orcid': None}, 'institutions': [], 'countries': [], 'is_corresponding': False, 'raw_author_name': 'Elmarie Nel', 'raw_affiliation_strings': [], 'affiliations': []}, {'author_position': 'last', 'author': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/A5068937199', 'display_name': 'Franz Ruch', 'orcid': None}, 'institutions': [], 'countries': [], 'is_corresponding': False, 'raw_author_name': 'Franz Ruch', 'raw_affiliation_strings': [], 'affiliations': []}], 'institution_assertions': [], 'countries_distinct_count': 0, 'institutions_distinct_count': 0, 'corresponding_author_ids': [], 'corresponding_institution_ids': [], 'apc_list': None, 'apc_paid': None, 'fwci': None, 'has_fulltext': False, 'cited_by_count': 7, 'citation_normalized_percentile': {'value': 0.934242, 'is_in_top_1_percent': False, 'is_in_top_10_percent': True}, 'cited_by_percentile_year': {'min': 83, 'max': 84}, 'biblio': {'volume': None, 'issue': None, 'first_page': None, 'last_page': None}, 'is_retracted': False, 'is_paratext': False, 'primary_topic': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/T10007', 'display_name': 'Monetary Policy and Economic Impact', 'score': 0.9982, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/2000', 'display_name': 'General Economics, Econometrics and Finance'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/20', 'display_name': 'Economics, Econometrics and Finance'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/2', 'display_name': 'Social Sciences'}}, 'topics': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/T10007', 'display_name': 'Monetary Policy and Economic Impact', 'score': 0.9982, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/2000', 'display_name': 'General Economics, Econometrics and Finance'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/20', 'display_name': 'Economics, Econometrics and Finance'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/2', 'display_name': 'Social Sciences'}}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/T11918', 'display_name': 'Forecasting Techniques and Applications', 'score': 0.9952, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/1803', 'display_name': 'Management Science and Operations Research'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/18', 'display_name': 'Decision Sciences'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/2', 'display_name': 'Social Sciences'}}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/T11059', 'display_name': 'Market Dynamics and Volatility', 'score': 0.9836, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/2002', 'display_name': 'Economics and Econometrics'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/20', 'display_name': 'Economics, Econometrics and Finance'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/2', 'display_name': 'Social Sciences'}}], 'keywords': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/nowcasting', 'display_name': 'Nowcasting', 'score': 0.99512744}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/benchmark', 'display_name': 'Benchmark (surveying)', 'score': 0.6460874}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/margin', 'display_name': 'Margin (machine learning)', 'score': 0.6219964}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/quarter', 'display_name': 'Quarter (Canadian coin)', 'score': 0.4836277}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/real-time-data', 'display_name': 'Real-time data', 'score': 0.48314613}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/sample', 'display_name': 'Sample (material)', 'score': 0.42116934}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-indicator', 'display_name': 'Economic indicator', 'score': 0.4167533}], 'concepts': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/C2781013037', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1433331', 'display_name': 'Nowcasting', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.99512744}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C185798385', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1161707', 'display_name': 'Benchmark (surveying)', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.6460874}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C774472', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6760393', 'display_name': 'Margin (machine learning)', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.6219964}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C165696696', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11287', 'display_name': 'Exploit', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.57514226}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C181683161', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7301159', 'display_name': 'Real gross domestic product', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.549859}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C149782125', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039', 'display_name': 'Econometrics', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.5429196}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C162324750', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134', 'display_name': 'Economics', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.49228135}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C85079727', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3560114', 'display_name': 'Quarter (Canadian coin)', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.4836277}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C110593043', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7300787', 'display_name': 'Real-time data', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.48314613}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C198531522', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q485146', 'display_name': 'Sample (material)', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.42116934}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C202353208', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1167393', 'display_name': 'Economic indicator', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.4167533}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C41008148', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198', 'display_name': 'Computer science', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.3704905}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C139719470', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680', 'display_name': 'Macroeconomics', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.30465388}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C205649164', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071', 'display_name': 'Geography', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.2081624}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C119857082', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539', 'display_name': 'Machine learning', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.08284047}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C185592680', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329', 'display_name': 'Chemistry', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.0}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C38652104', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521', 'display_name': 'Computer security', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.0}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C13280743', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q131089', 'display_name': 'Geodesy', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.0}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C166957645', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498', 'display_name': 'Archaeology', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.0}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C43617362', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q170050', 'display_name': 'Chromatography', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.0}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C153294291', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261', 'display_name': 'Meteorology', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.0}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C136764020', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466', 'display_name': 'World Wide Web', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.0}], 'mesh': [], 'locations_count': 1, 'locations': [{'is_oa': False, 'landing_page_url': 'http://www.econrsa.org/system/files/publications/working_papers/working_paper_581.pdf', 'pdf_url': None, 'source': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/S4306401271', 'display_name': 'RePEc: Research Papers in Economics', 'issn_l': None, 'issn': None, 'is_oa': True, 'is_in_doaj': False, 'is_core': False, 'host_organization': 'https://openalex.org/I77793887', 'host_organization_name': 'Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis', 'host_organization_lineage': ['https://openalex.org/I77793887'], 'host_organization_lineage_names': ['Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis'], 'type': 'repository'}, 'license': None, 'license_id': None, 'version': 'submittedVersion', 'is_accepted': False, 'is_published': False}], 'best_oa_location': None, 'sustainable_development_goals': [{'display_name': 'Decent work and economic growth', 'score': 0.76, 'id': 'https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8'}], 'grants': [], 'datasets': [], 'versions': [], 'referenced_works_count': 31, 'referenced_works': ['https://openalex.org/W1968084358', 'https://openalex.org/W1970487353', 'https://openalex.org/W2029202224', 'https://openalex.org/W2030677701', 'https://openalex.org/W2056186894', 'https://openalex.org/W2059566722', 'https://openalex.org/W2067521172', 'https://openalex.org/W2072622081', 'https://openalex.org/W2078728946', 'https://openalex.org/W2099036148', 'https://openalex.org/W2119419042', 'https://openalex.org/W2121180038', 'https://openalex.org/W2130704303', 'https://openalex.org/W2146661536', 'https://openalex.org/W2147071066', 'https://openalex.org/W2152742313', 'https://openalex.org/W2154038879', 'https://openalex.org/W2159706540', 'https://openalex.org/W2224803419', 'https://openalex.org/W2239905962', 'https://openalex.org/W2889854833', 'https://openalex.org/W2955871444', 'https://openalex.org/W3122251671', 'https://openalex.org/W3122373105', 'https://openalex.org/W3122635666', 'https://openalex.org/W3123562298', 'https://openalex.org/W3123730675', 'https://openalex.org/W3123823245', 'https://openalex.org/W3123881445', 'https://openalex.org/W3124103886', 'https://openalex.org/W38236442'], 'related_works': ['https://openalex.org/W3187841211', 'https://openalex.org/W3184704798', 'https://openalex.org/W3155923978', 'https://openalex.org/W3151852166', 'https://openalex.org/W3140778493', 'https://openalex.org/W3124110222', 'https://openalex.org/W3122532158', 'https://openalex.org/W3122488339', 'https://openalex.org/W3122373105', 'https://openalex.org/W3122339388', 'https://openalex.org/W3121955663', 'https://openalex.org/W3121600579', 'https://openalex.org/W3121340206', 'https://openalex.org/W2945952599', 'https://openalex.org/W2921773491', 'https://openalex.org/W2921412519', 'https://openalex.org/W2916283401', 'https://openalex.org/W2761658304', 'https://openalex.org/W2539549874', 'https://openalex.org/W2127307907'], 'abstract_inverted_index': {'This': [0, 61], 'paper': [1], 'uses': [2], 'nowcasting': [3, 108], 'to': [4, 14, 85, 113], 'forecast': [5], 'real': [6, 17, 59], 'GDP': [7], 'growth': [8], 'in': [9, 16, 58], 'South': [10], 'Africa': [11], 'from': [12], '2010Q1': [13], '2014Q3': [15], 'time.': [18, 60], 'Such': [19], 'an': [20], 'approach': [21], 'exploits': [22], 'the': [23, 29, 32, 38, 53, 56, 65, 89, 92, 96, 99, 107, 120], '‡ow': [24], 'of': [25, 31, 37, 52, 55, 91, 98, 115], 'highfrequency': [26], 'information': [27, 87], 'underlying': [28], 'state': [30, 54, 90], 'economy.': [33], 'It': [34], 'overcomes': [35], 'one': [36], 'major': [39], 'challenges': [40], 'faced': [41], 'by': [42, 137], 'forecasters,': [43], 'policymakers,': [44], 'and': [45, 77], 'economic': [46, 69], 'agents': [47], 'having': [48], 'a': [49, 138], 'clear': [50], 'view': [51], 'economy': [57, 93], 'is': [62, 111], 'often': [63], 'not': [64], 'case': [66], 'as': [67], 'many': [68], 'variables': [70], 'are': [71], 'only': [72], 'available': [73], 'at': [74], 'low': [75], 'frequency': [76], 'with': [78, 126], 'considerable': [79], 'lags,': [80], 'making': [81], 'it': [82], 'di¢': [83], 'cult': [84], 'have': [86], 'on': [88], 'even': [94, 118], 'after': [95], 'end': [97], 'quarter.': [100], 'The': [101, 128], 'pseudo': [102], 'out-of-sample': [103], 'forecasts': [104], 'show': [105], 'that': [106], 'model’s': [109], 'performance': [110], 'comparable': [112], 'those': [114], 'professional': [116], 'forecasters': [117], 'though': [119], 'latter': [121], 'enhance': [122], 'their': [123], 'forecasting': [124], 'accuracy': [125], 'judgement.': [127], 'nowcast': [129], 'model': [130], 'also': [131], 'outperforms': [132], 'all': [133], 'other': [134], 'benchmark': [135], 'models': [136], 'signi…cant': [139], 'margin.': [140]}, 'cited_by_api_url': 'https://api.openalex.org/works?filter=cites:W2296326587', 'counts_by_year': [{'year': 2024, 'cited_by_count': 1}, {'year': 2022, 'cited_by_count': 2}, {'year': 2020, 'cited_by_count': 2}, {'year': 2019, 'cited_by_count': 1}, {'year': 2018, 'cited_by_count': 1}], 'updated_date': '2025-01-04T04:15:22.308431', 'created_date': '2016-06-24'}