Publication Information

{'id': 'https://openalex.org/W2160708044', 'doi': 'https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246x.2007.03676.x', 'title': 'Testing alarm-based earthquake predictions', 'display_name': 'Testing alarm-based earthquake predictions', 'publication_year': 2008, 'publication_date': '2008-02-01', 'ids': {'openalex': 'https://openalex.org/W2160708044', 'doi': 'https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246x.2007.03676.x', 'mag': '2160708044'}, 'language': 'en', 'primary_location': {'is_oa': True, 'landing_page_url': 'https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246x.2007.03676.x', 'pdf_url': 'https://academic.oup.com/gji/article-pdf/172/2/715/17359354/172-2-715.pdf', 'source': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/S108821158', 'display_name': 'Geophysical Journal International', 'issn_l': '0956-540X', 'issn': ['0956-540X', '1365-246X'], 'is_oa': False, 'is_in_doaj': False, 'is_core': True, 'host_organization': 'https://openalex.org/P4310311648', 'host_organization_name': 'Oxford University Press', 'host_organization_lineage': ['https://openalex.org/P4310311647', 'https://openalex.org/P4310311648'], 'host_organization_lineage_names': ['University of Oxford', 'Oxford University Press'], 'type': 'journal'}, 'license': None, 'license_id': None, 'version': 'publishedVersion', 'is_accepted': True, 'is_published': True}, 'type': 'article', 'type_crossref': 'journal-article', 'indexed_in': ['crossref'], 'open_access': {'is_oa': True, 'oa_status': 'bronze', 'oa_url': 'https://academic.oup.com/gji/article-pdf/172/2/715/17359354/172-2-715.pdf', 'any_repository_has_fulltext': False}, 'authorships': [{'author_position': 'first', 'author': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/A5030600113', 'display_name': 'J. D. Zechar', 'orcid': None}, 'institutions': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/I1174212', 'display_name': 'University of Southern California', 'ror': 'https://ror.org/03taz7m60', 'country_code': 'US', 'type': 'education', 'lineage': ['https://openalex.org/I1174212']}], 'countries': ['US'], 'is_corresponding': True, 'raw_author_name': 'J. Douglas Zechar', 'raw_affiliation_strings': ['Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USA. E-mail:'], 'affiliations': [{'raw_affiliation_string': 'Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USA. E-mail:', 'institution_ids': ['https://openalex.org/I1174212']}]}, {'author_position': 'last', 'author': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/A5028735277', 'display_name': 'T. H. Jordan', 'orcid': 'https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6511-148X'}, 'institutions': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/I1174212', 'display_name': 'University of Southern California', 'ror': 'https://ror.org/03taz7m60', 'country_code': 'US', 'type': 'education', 'lineage': ['https://openalex.org/I1174212']}], 'countries': ['US'], 'is_corresponding': True, 'raw_author_name': 'Thomas H. Jordan', 'raw_affiliation_strings': ['Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USA. E-mail:'], 'affiliations': [{'raw_affiliation_string': 'Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USA. E-mail:', 'institution_ids': ['https://openalex.org/I1174212']}]}], 'institution_assertions': [], 'countries_distinct_count': 1, 'institutions_distinct_count': 1, 'corresponding_author_ids': ['https://openalex.org/A5030600113', 'https://openalex.org/A5028735277'], 'corresponding_institution_ids': ['https://openalex.org/I1174212', 'https://openalex.org/I1174212'], 'apc_list': {'value': 2590, 'currency': 'GBP', 'value_usd': 3176, 'provenance': 'doaj'}, 'apc_paid': None, 'fwci': 8.54, 'has_fulltext': True, 'fulltext_origin': 'pdf', 'cited_by_count': 177, 'citation_normalized_percentile': {'value': 0.999877, 'is_in_top_1_percent': True, 'is_in_top_10_percent': True}, 'cited_by_percentile_year': {'min': 98, 'max': 99}, 'biblio': {'volume': '172', 'issue': '2', 'first_page': '715', 'last_page': '724'}, 'is_retracted': False, 'is_paratext': False, 'primary_topic': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/T10110', 'display_name': 'earthquake and tectonic studies', 'score': 0.9998, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/1908', 'display_name': 'Geophysics'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/19', 'display_name': 'Earth and Planetary Sciences'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/3', 'display_name': 'Physical Sciences'}}, 'topics': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/T10110', 'display_name': 'earthquake and tectonic studies', 'score': 0.9998, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/1908', 'display_name': 'Geophysics'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/19', 'display_name': 'Earth and Planetary Sciences'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/3', 'display_name': 'Physical Sciences'}}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/T13018', 'display_name': 'Seismology and Earthquake Studies', 'score': 0.9956, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/1702', 'display_name': 'Artificial Intelligence'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/17', 'display_name': 'Computer Science'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/3', 'display_name': 'Physical Sciences'}}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/T12424', 'display_name': 'Earthquake Detection and Analysis', 'score': 0.9949, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/1908', 'display_name': 'Geophysics'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/19', 'display_name': 'Earth and Planetary Sciences'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/3', 'display_name': 'Physical Sciences'}}], 'keywords': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/predictability', 'display_name': 'Predictability', 'score': 0.59475607}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/false-alarm', 'display_name': 'False alarm', 'score': 0.45228833}], 'concepts': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/C83176761', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1394636', 'display_name': 'Induced seismicity', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.7106328}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C197640229', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2534066', 'display_name': 'Predictability', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.59475607}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C2776836416', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1364844', 'display_name': 'False alarm', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.45228833}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C165205528', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83371', 'display_name': 'Seismology', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.44329208}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C41008148', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198', 'display_name': 'Computer science', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.44076356}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C156801008', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q308442', 'display_name': 'Aftershock', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.43219256}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C127313418', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069', 'display_name': 'Geology', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.36343592}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C105795698', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483', 'display_name': 'Statistics', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.31993008}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C33923547', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395', 'display_name': 'Mathematics', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.2717095}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C154945302', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660', 'display_name': 'Artificial intelligence', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.15267625}], 'mesh': [], 'locations_count': 1, 'locations': [{'is_oa': True, 'landing_page_url': 'https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246x.2007.03676.x', 'pdf_url': 'https://academic.oup.com/gji/article-pdf/172/2/715/17359354/172-2-715.pdf', 'source': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/S108821158', 'display_name': 'Geophysical Journal International', 'issn_l': '0956-540X', 'issn': ['0956-540X', '1365-246X'], 'is_oa': False, 'is_in_doaj': False, 'is_core': True, 'host_organization': 'https://openalex.org/P4310311648', 'host_organization_name': 'Oxford University Press', 'host_organization_lineage': ['https://openalex.org/P4310311647', 'https://openalex.org/P4310311648'], 'host_organization_lineage_names': ['University of Oxford', 'Oxford University Press'], 'type': 'journal'}, 'license': None, 'license_id': None, 'version': 'publishedVersion', 'is_accepted': True, 'is_published': True}], 'best_oa_location': {'is_oa': True, 'landing_page_url': 'https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246x.2007.03676.x', 'pdf_url': 'https://academic.oup.com/gji/article-pdf/172/2/715/17359354/172-2-715.pdf', 'source': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/S108821158', 'display_name': 'Geophysical Journal International', 'issn_l': '0956-540X', 'issn': ['0956-540X', '1365-246X'], 'is_oa': False, 'is_in_doaj': False, 'is_core': True, 'host_organization': 'https://openalex.org/P4310311648', 'host_organization_name': 'Oxford University Press', 'host_organization_lineage': ['https://openalex.org/P4310311647', 'https://openalex.org/P4310311648'], 'host_organization_lineage_names': ['University of Oxford', 'Oxford University Press'], 'type': 'journal'}, 'license': None, 'license_id': None, 'version': 'publishedVersion', 'is_accepted': True, 'is_published': True}, 'sustainable_development_goals': [{'id': 'https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13', 'display_name': 'Climate action', 'score': 0.42}], 'grants': [], 'datasets': [], 'versions': [], 'referenced_works_count': 40, 'referenced_works': ['https://openalex.org/W135352189', 'https://openalex.org/W1482168343', 'https://openalex.org/W1497748637', 'https://openalex.org/W1502812137', 'https://openalex.org/W1554720530', 'https://openalex.org/W1968911068', 'https://openalex.org/W1980316168', 'https://openalex.org/W1982590043', 'https://openalex.org/W1984713496', 'https://openalex.org/W1993960313', 'https://openalex.org/W2004598945', 'https://openalex.org/W2013062051', 'https://openalex.org/W2018314772', 'https://openalex.org/W2023177223', 'https://openalex.org/W2025297319', 'https://openalex.org/W2033447402', 'https://openalex.org/W2041521362', 'https://openalex.org/W2042081284', 'https://openalex.org/W2043411293', 'https://openalex.org/W2045638068', 'https://openalex.org/W2049883494', 'https://openalex.org/W2053109492', 'https://openalex.org/W2060701706', 'https://openalex.org/W2074094885', 'https://openalex.org/W2076018521', 'https://openalex.org/W2099929975', 'https://openalex.org/W2108345411', 'https://openalex.org/W2108731107', 'https://openalex.org/W2109535573', 'https://openalex.org/W2112209482', 'https://openalex.org/W2118700536', 'https://openalex.org/W2145571232', 'https://openalex.org/W2152694151', 'https://openalex.org/W2158438651', 'https://openalex.org/W2329118521', 'https://openalex.org/W3196620053', 'https://openalex.org/W377308088', 'https://openalex.org/W377385579', 'https://openalex.org/W4252383520', 'https://openalex.org/W4321429221'], 'related_works': ['https://openalex.org/W605406854', 'https://openalex.org/W4321502140', 'https://openalex.org/W4243050996', 'https://openalex.org/W3208176069', 'https://openalex.org/W3115681188', 'https://openalex.org/W2560240398', 'https://openalex.org/W239926260', 'https://openalex.org/W2382264130', 'https://openalex.org/W1970501295', 'https://openalex.org/W1821707512'], 'abstract_inverted_index': {'Motivated': [0], 'by': [1, 36, 167, 211], 'a': [2, 11, 41, 76, 80, 95, 109, 122, 134, 154, 189, 203, 225], 'recent': [3], 'resurgence': [4], 'in': [5, 51, 178, 270], 'earthquake': [6, 16, 48, 286], 'predictability': [7], 'research,': [8], 'we': [9, 69, 93, 162], 'present': [10], 'method': [12, 20, 262], 'for': [13, 133, 273, 285], 'testing': [14, 19, 160, 261], 'alarm-based': [15], 'predictions.': [17], 'The': [18, 140], 'is': [21, 38, 138], 'based': [22, 103], 'on': [23, 104, 111], 'the': [24, 64, 71, 99, 105, 112, 130, 145, 159, 164, 215, 253, 271, 274], 'Molchan': [25, 113], 'diagram—a': [26], 'plot': [27], 'of': [28, 33, 44, 75, 82, 117, 124, 147, 233, 276], 'miss': [29], 'rate': [30], 'and': [31, 54, 129, 170, 214, 236, 279], 'fraction': [32], 'space-time': [34], 'occupied': [35], 'alarm—and': [37], 'applicable': [39], 'to': [40, 153, 172, 207, 252, 266, 280], 'wide': [42], 'class': [43], 'predictions,': [45], 'including': [46], 'probabilistic': [47], 'forecasts': [49, 182], 'varying': [50], 'space,': [52], 'time,': [53], 'magnitude.': [55], 'A': [56, 115], 'single': [57], 'alarm': [58, 136, 150], 'can': [59, 85, 263], 'be': [60, 86, 264], 'simply': [61], 'tested': [62], 'using': [63, 195], 'cumulative': [65, 96], 'binomial': [66], 'distribution.': [67], 'Here': [68], 'consider': [70, 163], 'more': [72], 'interesting': [73], 'case': [74], 'function': [77, 137, 151], 'from': [78, 183], 'which': [79], 'continuum': [81], 'well-ordered': [83], 'alarms': [84], 'derived.': [87], 'For': [88], 'such': [89], 'an': [90, 148], "'alarm": [91], "function'": [92], 'construct': [94], 'performance': [97, 146, 249], 'measure,': [98], 'area': [100, 107, 141], 'skill': [101, 142], 'score,': [102], 'normalized': [106], 'above': [108], 'trajectory': [110], 'diagram.': [114], 'score': [116, 123, 132, 143], 'unity': [118], 'indicates': [119, 126], 'perfect': [120, 127], 'skill,': [121], 'zero': [125], 'non-skill,': [128], 'expected': [131], 'random': [135], '1/2.': [139], 'quantifies': [144], 'arbitrary': [149], 'relative': [152, 186, 251], 'reference': [155, 255, 283], 'model.': [156, 256], 'To': [157], 'illustrate': [158], 'method,': [161], '10-yr': [165], 'experiment': [166], 'J.': [168], 'Rundle': [169], 'others': [171], 'predict': [173], 'M': [174], '≥': [175], '5': [176], 'earthquakes': [177], 'California.': [179], 'We': [180, 257], 'test': [181], 'three': [184], 'models:': [185], 'intensity': [187], '(RI),': [188], 'simple': [190], 'spatial': [191], 'clustering': [192], 'model': [193, 204, 226], 'constructed': [194], 'only': [196], 'smoothed': [197, 229], 'historical': [198, 230], 'seismicity;': [199], 'pattern': [200, 212], 'informatics': [201], '(PI),': [202], 'that': [205, 227, 242, 259], 'aims': [206], 'capture': [208], 'seismicity': [209], 'dynamics': [210], 'recognition;': [213], 'U.': [216], 'S.': [217], 'Geological': [218], 'Survey': [219], 'National': [220], 'Seismic': [221], 'Hazard': [222], 'Map': [223], '(NSHM),': [224], 'comprises': [228], 'seismicity,': [231, 235], 'zones': [232], "'background'": [234], 'explicit': [237], 'fault': [238], 'information.': [239], 'Results': [240], 'show': [241], 'neither': [243], 'PI': [244], 'nor': [245], 'NSHM': [246], 'provide': [247], 'significant': [248], 'gain': [250], 'RI': [254], 'suggest': [258], 'our': [260], 'used': [265], 'evaluate': [267], 'future': [268], 'experiments': [269], 'Collaboratory': [272], 'Study': [275], 'Earthquake': [277], 'Predictability': [278], 'iteratively': [281], 'improve': [282], 'models': [284], 'prediction': [287], 'hypothesis': [288], 'testing.': [289]}, 'cited_by_api_url': 'https://api.openalex.org/works?filter=cites:W2160708044', 'counts_by_year': [{'year': 2024, 'cited_by_count': 13}, {'year': 2023, 'cited_by_count': 16}, {'year': 2022, 'cited_by_count': 22}, {'year': 2021, 'cited_by_count': 14}, {'year': 2020, 'cited_by_count': 5}, {'year': 2019, 'cited_by_count': 9}, {'year': 2018, 'cited_by_count': 9}, {'year': 2017, 'cited_by_count': 11}, {'year': 2016, 'cited_by_count': 3}, {'year': 2015, 'cited_by_count': 6}, {'year': 2014, 'cited_by_count': 8}, {'year': 2013, 'cited_by_count': 12}, {'year': 2012, 'cited_by_count': 10}], 'updated_date': '2025-01-09T23:45:24.884425', 'created_date': '2016-06-24'}