Title: Predictive effects of teachers and schools on test scores, college attendance, and earnings
Abstract: Significance This study measures the predictive effect of teachers on adult outcomes. The data are based on elementary and middle school classrooms, grades four through eight. For a classroom, there is an average score based on a math or reading test given near the end of the school year. There are also later outcome measures for that classroom. These measures include the fraction of the classroom that is attending college at age 20 and the average earnings of the classroom at age 28. The predictive effects are based on observing multiple classrooms with the same teacher.