Title: Seasonality in the Romanian International Trade of Flowers
Abstract: International trade is an area that involved many peculiarities. For certain products, seasonality issues have a particular importance on both internal and external market. In this paper it was analyzed seasonality of the Romanian international trade with flowers and also it was forecasting the time series data for the next 3 years. The data upon which the study was conducted of four categories of flowers and parts of the flowers, displayed over the period 2002-2011, quarterly data. The results we have obtained, have shown that at the total flower sector, the main seasonal adjustments of the time series was for the second quarter data in case of the imports and for the fourth quarter for exports. The slightest seasonal correction of chronological series data was for the third quarter, in the case of imports of flowers, respectively for the first quarter, in the case of exports of flowers. The study's findings were also that on throughout the entire series, there is an average seasonal deviation per the four quarters of 23.27 tonnes for total imports and 0.449 tonnes for total exports of flowers.