Get quick answers to your questions about the article from our AI researcher chatbot
{'id': 'https://openalex.org/W1911281453', 'doi': None, 'title': 'Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide', 'display_name': 'Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide', 'publication_year': 2000, 'publication_date': '2000-12-05', 'ids': {'openalex': 'https://openalex.org/W1911281453', 'mag': '1911281453'}, 'language': 'en', 'primary_location': {'is_oa': False, 'landing_page_url': 'http://ci.nii.ac.jp/ncid/BA47154351', 'pdf_url': None, 'source': None, 'license': None, 'license_id': None, 'version': None, 'is_accepted': False, 'is_published': False}, 'type': 'book', 'type_crossref': 'book', 'indexed_in': [], 'open_access': {'is_oa': False, 'oa_status': 'closed', 'oa_url': None, 'any_repository_has_fulltext': False}, 'authorships': [{'author_position': 'first', 'author': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/A5048697058', 'display_name': 'David Vose', 'orcid': None}, 'institutions': [], 'countries': [], 'is_corresponding': True, 'raw_author_name': 'David Vose', 'raw_affiliation_strings': [], 'affiliations': []}], 'institution_assertions': [], 'countries_distinct_count': 0, 'institutions_distinct_count': 0, 'corresponding_author_ids': ['https://openalex.org/A5048697058'], 'corresponding_institution_ids': [], 'apc_list': None, 'apc_paid': None, 'fwci': 13.744, 'has_fulltext': False, 'cited_by_count': 1755, 'citation_normalized_percentile': {'value': 0.983193, 'is_in_top_1_percent': False, 'is_in_top_10_percent': True}, 'cited_by_percentile_year': {'min': 99, 'max': 100}, 'biblio': {'volume': None, 'issue': None, 'first_page': None, 'last_page': None}, 'is_retracted': False, 'is_paratext': False, 'primary_topic': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/T12423', 'display_name': 'Software Reliability and Analysis Research', 'score': 0.3686, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/1712', 'display_name': 'Software'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/17', 'display_name': 'Computer Science'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/3', 'display_name': 'Physical Sciences'}}, 'topics': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/T12423', 'display_name': 'Software Reliability and Analysis Research', 'score': 0.3686, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/1712', 'display_name': 'Software'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/17', 'display_name': 'Computer Science'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/3', 'display_name': 'Physical Sciences'}}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/T11357', 'display_name': 'Risk and Safety Analysis', 'score': 0.3231, 'subfield': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/subfields/1804', 'display_name': 'Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty'}, 'field': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/fields/18', 'display_name': 'Decision Sciences'}, 'domain': {'id': 'https://openalex.org/domains/2', 'display_name': 'Social Sciences'}}], 'keywords': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/scope', 'display_name': 'Scope (computer science)', 'score': 0.4925745}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/keywords/model-risk', 'display_name': 'Model risk', 'score': 0.42076045}], 'concepts': [{'id': 'https://openalex.org/C32896092', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q189447', 'display_name': 'Risk management', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.5478978}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C41008148', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198', 'display_name': 'Computer science', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.54489005}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C112930515', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547', 'display_name': 'Risk analysis (engineering)', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.5326694}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C2779530757', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1207505', 'display_name': 'Quality (philosophy)', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.50115275}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C149441793', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q200726', 'display_name': 'Probability distribution', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.49408224}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C2778012447', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1034415', 'display_name': 'Scope (computer science)', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.4925745}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C12174686', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1058438', 'display_name': 'Risk assessment', 'level': 2, 'score': 0.44322643}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C42475967', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292', 'display_name': 'Operations research', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.42520055}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C2778414658', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1409206', 'display_name': 'Model risk', 'level': 3, 'score': 0.42076045}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C105795698', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483', 'display_name': 'Statistics', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.30240136}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C33923547', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395', 'display_name': 'Mathematics', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.22378978}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C71924100', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190', 'display_name': 'Medicine', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.0}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C138885662', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891', 'display_name': 'Philosophy', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.0}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C187736073', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2920921', 'display_name': 'Management', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.0}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C38652104', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521', 'display_name': 'Computer security', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.0}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C111472728', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471', 'display_name': 'Epistemology', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.0}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C162324750', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134', 'display_name': 'Economics', 'level': 0, 'score': 0.0}, {'id': 'https://openalex.org/C199360897', 'wikidata': 'https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143', 'display_name': 'Programming language', 'level': 1, 'score': 0.0}], 'mesh': [], 'locations_count': 1, 'locations': [{'is_oa': False, 'landing_page_url': 'http://ci.nii.ac.jp/ncid/BA47154351', 'pdf_url': None, 'source': None, 'license': None, 'license_id': None, 'version': None, 'is_accepted': False, 'is_published': False}], 'best_oa_location': None, 'sustainable_development_goals': [], 'grants': [], 'datasets': [], 'versions': [], 'referenced_works_count': 0, 'referenced_works': [], 'related_works': ['https://openalex.org/W575556124', 'https://openalex.org/W3159971645', 'https://openalex.org/W2912565176', 'https://openalex.org/W2582743722', 'https://openalex.org/W2147704565', 'https://openalex.org/W2140481308', 'https://openalex.org/W2139622918', 'https://openalex.org/W2137749025', 'https://openalex.org/W2128591134', 'https://openalex.org/W2095655760', 'https://openalex.org/W2080843910', 'https://openalex.org/W2048138718', 'https://openalex.org/W2045656233', 'https://openalex.org/W2032398986', 'https://openalex.org/W2030643989', 'https://openalex.org/W2011802426', 'https://openalex.org/W1995945562', 'https://openalex.org/W1988458243', 'https://openalex.org/W1606458208', 'https://openalex.org/W1605001875'], 'abstract_inverted_index': {'Preface.': [0], 'Part': [1, 177], '1:': [2], 'Introduction.': [3, 179, 238, 413, 437, 512], '1.': [4], 'Why': [5, 82], 'do': [6], 'a': [7, 43, 66, 76, 83, 97, 109, 150, 155, 161, 168, 204, 313, 322, 331, 358, 428, 455, 497, 534, 639, 691], 'risk': [8, 44, 77, 151, 509, 582, 603, 653, 678], 'analysis?': [9], '1.1.': [10], 'Moving': [11], 'on': [12, 571], 'from': [13, 433], 'What': [14], 'If': [15], 'Scenarios.': [16], '1.2.': [17], 'The': [18, 73, 80, 105, 190, 240, 244, 248, 277, 344, 355, 421, 488, 760, 787], 'Risk': [19, 23, 28, 39, 68, 84, 98, 110, 156, 480, 517, 578, 586, 590, 608], 'Analysis': [20, 85, 157, 504, 518], 'Process.': [21, 242, 246, 250], '1.3.': [22], 'Management': [24, 29], 'Options.': [25, 30], '1.4.': [26], 'Evaluating': [27, 485], '1.5.': [31], 'Inefficiencies': [32], 'in': [33, 96, 108, 292, 388, 442, 508, 577, 690], 'Transferring': [34], 'Risks': [35], 'to': [36, 217, 301, 316, 326, 335, 475, 482, 754, 764], 'Others.': [37], '1.6.': [38], 'Registers.': [40], '2.': [41], 'Planning': [42], 'analysis.': [45, 78, 152, 510, 583], '2.1.': [46], 'Questions': [47], 'and': [48, 61, 122, 132, 145, 183, 202, 209, 219, 268, 377, 410, 464, 520, 532, 560, 601, 616, 657, 707, 725, 730, 735, 740, 747], 'Motives.': [49], '2.2.': [50], 'Determine': [51], 'the': [52, 91, 123, 147, 305, 308, 317, 460, 668, 748], 'Assumptions': [53], 'that': [54, 214, 224], 'are': [55, 215, 225], 'Acceptable': [56], 'or': [57, 70], 'Required.': [58], '2.3.': [59], 'Time': [60, 359, 365, 381, 391, 555], 'Timing.': [62], '2.4.': [63], "You'll": [64], 'Need': [65], 'Good': [67], 'Analyst': [69], 'Team.': [71], '3.': [72], 'quality': [74], 'of': [75, 93, 102, 116, 149, 167, 174, 192, 307, 340, 357, 384, 440, 473, 490, 496, 527, 558, 594, 623, 628, 698, 721, 745, 771], '3.1.': [79], 'Reasons': [81], 'can': [86], 'be': [87], 'Terrible.': [88], '3.2.': [89], 'Communicating': [90], 'Quality': [92], 'Data': [94, 267], 'Used': [95], 'Analysis.': [99, 111, 297, 500, 579, 587, 591], '3.3.': [100], 'Level': [101], 'Criticality.': [103], '3.4.': [104], 'Biggest': [106], 'Uncertainty': [107, 131], '3.5.': [112], 'Iterate.': [113], '4.': [114], 'Choice': [115], 'model': [117], 'structure.': [118], '4.1.': [119], 'Software': [120], 'Tools': [121], 'Models': [124, 213, 223, 393, 557], 'they': [125], 'Build.': [126], '4.2.': [127], 'Calculation': [128], 'Methods.': [129, 515], '4.3.': [130], 'Variability.': [133], '4.4.': [134], 'How': [135, 753], 'Monte': [136, 665], 'Carlo': [137, 666], 'Simulation': [138, 141, 667], 'Works.': [139], '4.5.': [140], 'Modelling.': [142, 609], '5.': [143], 'Understanding': [144], 'using': [146], 'results': [148], '5.1.': [153], 'Writing': [154], 'Report.': [158], '5.2.': [159], 'Explaining': [160], "Model's": [162, 169], 'Assumptions.': [163], '5.3.': [164], 'Graphical': [165], 'Presentation': [166], 'Results.': [170, 176], '5.4.': [171], 'Statistical': [172, 198], 'Methods': [173], 'Analysing': [175, 304], '2:': [178], '6.': [180], 'Probability': [181, 186, 195, 756], 'mathematics': [182], 'simulation.': [184], '6.1.': [185], 'Distribution': [187, 315, 325, 334, 757, 773], 'Equations.': [188, 758], '6.2.': [189], 'Definition': [191], 'Probability.': [193], '6.3.': [194], 'Rules.': [196], '6.4.': [197], 'Measures.': [199], '7.': [200], 'Building': [201, 212, 222], 'running': [203], 'model.': [205, 535], '7.1.': [206], 'Model': [207, 474, 538, 542, 673], 'Design': [208], 'Scope.': [210], '7.2.': [211], 'Easy': [216], 'Check': [218], 'Modify.': [220], '7.3.': [221], 'Efficient.': [226], '7.4.': [227], 'Most': [228, 749], 'Common': [229, 363], 'Modelling': [230, 408, 446, 519, 638, 644], 'Errors.': [231, 539], '8.': [232], 'Some': [233, 672], 'basic': [234], 'random': [235, 341], 'processes.': [236], '8.1.': [237], '8.2.': [239], 'Binomial': [241], '8.3.': [243], 'Poisson': [245], '8.4.': [247], 'Hypergeometric': [249], '8.5.': [251], 'Central': [252], 'Limit': [253], 'Theorem.': [254], '8.6.': [255], 'Renewal': [256], 'Processes.': [257], '8.7.': [258], 'Mixture': [259], 'Distributions.': [260, 349, 727, 732, 737, 742, 751, 761, 768, 781, 790], '8.8.': [261], 'Martingales.': [262], '8.9.': [263], 'Miscellaneous': [264, 704], 'Example.': [265, 470], '9.': [266], 'statistics.': [269], '9.1.': [270], 'Classical': [271], 'Statistics.': [272], '9.2.': [273], 'Bayesian': [274], 'Inference.': [275], '9.3.': [276], 'Bootstrap.': [278], '9.4.': [279], 'Maximum': [280], 'Entropy': [281], 'Principle.': [282], '9.5.': [283], 'Which': [284], 'Technique': [285], 'Should': [286], 'You': [287], 'Use?': [288], '9.6.': [289], 'Adding': [290], 'uncertainty': [291], 'Simple': [293], 'Linear': [294], 'Least-Squares': [295], 'Regression': [296], '10.': [298], 'Fitting': [299, 312, 321, 330], 'distributions': [300], 'data.': [302], '10.1.': [303], 'Properties': [306, 356], 'Observed': [309, 318, 327, 336], 'Data.': [310, 319, 328, 337, 477], '10.2.': [311], 'Non-Parametric': [314, 736], '10.3.': [320], 'First-Order': [323], 'Parametric': [324, 333, 734], '10.4.': [329], 'Second-Order': [332], '11.': [338], 'Sums': [339], 'variables.': [342], '11.1.': [343], 'Basic': [345], 'Problem.': [346], '11.2.': [347], 'Aggregate': [348], '12.': [350], 'Forecasting': [351, 399], 'with': [352, 394, 774], 'uncertainty.': [353], '12.1.': [354], 'Series': [360, 366, 382, 392, 556], 'Forecast.': [361], '12.2.': [362], 'Financial': [364, 575, 624], 'Models.': [367, 370, 374, 379, 403, 619, 659, 662], '12.3.': [368], 'Autoregressive': [369], '12.4.': [371], 'Markov': [372, 617], 'Chain': [373, 618], '12.5.': [375], 'Birth': [376], 'Death': [378], '12.6.': [380], 'Projection': [383], 'Events': [385], 'Occurring': [386], 'Randomly': [387], 'Time.': [389], '12.7.': [390], 'Leading': [395], 'Indicators.': [396], '12.8.': [397], 'Comparing': [398, 545], 'Fits': [400], 'for': [401, 682, 713, 779], 'Different': [402], '12.9.': [404], 'Long-Term': [405], 'Forecasting.': [406], '13.': [407], 'correlation': [409], 'dependencies.': [411], '13.1.': [412], '13.2.': [414], 'Rank': [415], 'Order': [416], 'Correlation.': [417], '13.3.': [418], 'Copulas.': [419], '13.4.': [420], 'Envelope': [422], 'Method.': [423], '13.5.': [424], 'Multiple': [425], 'Correlation': [426], 'Using': [427], 'Look-Up': [429], 'Table.': [430], '14.': [431], 'Eliciting': [432], 'expert': [434], 'opinion.': [435], '14.1.': [436], '14.2.': [438], 'Sources': [439], 'Error': [441], 'Subjective': [443], 'Estimation.': [444], '14.3.': [445], 'Techniques.': [447], '14.4.': [448], 'Calibrating': [449], 'Subject': [450], 'Matter': [451], 'Experts.': [452], '14.5.': [453], 'Conducting': [454, 459], 'Brainstorming': [456], 'Session.': [457], '14.6.': [458], 'Interview.': [461], '15.': [462], 'Testing': [463, 681], 'modelling': [465], 'causal': [466], 'relationships.': [467], '15.1.': [468], 'Campylobacter': [469], '15.2.': [471], 'Types': [472], 'Analyse': [476], '15.3.': [478], 'From': [479], 'Factors': [481], 'Causes.': [483], '15.4.': [484], 'Evidence.': [486], '15.5.': [487], 'Limits': [489], 'Causal': [491, 499, 503], 'Arguments.': [492], '15.6.': [493], 'An': [494], 'Example': [495], 'Qualitative': [498], '15.7.': [501], 'Is': [502, 664], 'Essential?': [505], '16.': [506], 'Optimisation': [507, 514], '16.1.': [511], '16.2.': [513], '16.3.': [516], 'Optimisation.': [521], '16.4.': [522], 'Working': [523], 'Example:': [524], 'Optimal': [525], 'Allocation': [526], 'Mineral': [528], 'Pots.': [529], '17.': [530], 'Checking': [531, 541], 'validating': [533], '17.1.': [536], 'Spreadsheet': [537], '17.2.': [540], 'Behaviour.': [543], '17.3.': [544], 'Predictions': [546], 'Against': [547], 'Reality.': [548], '18.': [549], 'Discounted': [550], 'cashflow': [551], 'modelling.': [552, 605], '18.1.': [553], 'Useful': [554, 750], 'Sales': [559], 'Market': [561], 'Size.': [562], '18.2.': [563], 'Summing': [564, 568], 'Random': [565], 'Variables.': [566], '18.3.': [567], 'Variable': [569, 572], 'Margins': [570], 'Revenues.': [573], '18.4.': [574], 'Measures': [576, 627], '19.': [580], 'Project': [581], '19.1.': [584], 'Cost': [585], '19.2.': [588], 'Schedule': [589], '19.3.': [592], 'Portfolios': [593], 'risks.': [595], '19.4.': [596], 'Cascading': [597], 'Risks.': [598], '20.': [599], 'Insurance': [600, 641], 'finance': [602], 'analysis': [604], '20.1.': [606], 'Operational': [607], '20.2.': [610], 'Credit': [611, 614], 'Risk.': [612, 625, 629], '20.3.': [613], 'Ratings': [615], '20.4.': [620], 'Other': [621], 'Areas': [622], '20.5.': [626], '20.6.': [630], 'Term': [631], 'Life': [632], 'Insurance.': [633, 636], '20.7.': [634], 'Accident': [635], '20.8.': [637], 'Correlated': [640], 'Portfolio.': [642], '20.9.': [643], 'Extremes.': [645], '20.10.': [646], 'Premium': [647], 'Calculations.': [648], '21.': [649], 'Microbial': [650], 'food': [651], 'safety': [652], 'assessment.': [654, 679], '21.1.': [655], 'Growth': [656], 'Attenuation': [658], '21.2.': [660], 'Dose-Response': [661], '21.3.': [663], 'Right': [669], 'Approach?': [670], '21.4.': [671], 'Simplifications.': [674], '22.': [675], 'Animal': [676, 705], 'import': [677], '22.1.': [680], 'an': [683, 700], 'Infected': [684, 701], 'Animal.': [685], '22.2.': [686], 'Estimating': [687], 'True': [688], 'Prevalence': [689], 'Population.': [692], '22.3.': [693], 'Importing': [694], 'Problems.': [695, 710], '22.4.': [696], 'Confidence': [697], 'Detecting': [699], 'Group.': [702], '22.5.': [703], 'Health': [706], 'Food': [708], 'Safety': [709], 'I.': [711], 'Guide': [712], 'lecturers.': [714], 'II.': [715], 'About': [716], 'ModelRisk.': [717], 'III.': [718], 'A': [719, 783], 'compendium': [720], 'distributions.': [722], 'III.1.': [723], 'Discrete': [724, 780], 'Continuous': [726], 'III.2.': [728], 'Bounded': [729], 'Unbounded': [731], 'III.3.': [733], 'III.4.': [738], 'Univariate': [739], 'Multivariate': [741], 'III.5.': [743], 'Lists': [744], 'Applications': [746], 'III.6.': [752], 'Read': [755], 'III.7.': [759], 'III.8.': [762], 'Introduction': [763], 'Creating': [765], 'Your': [766], 'Own': [767], 'III.9.': [769], 'Approximation': [770], 'One': [772], 'Another.': [775], 'III.10.': [776], 'Recursive': [777], 'Formulae': [778], 'III.11.': [782], 'Visual': [784], 'Observation': [785], 'On': [786], 'Behaviour': [788], 'Of': [789], 'IV.': [791], 'Further': [792], 'reading.': [793], 'V.': [794], 'Vose': [795], 'Consulting.': [796], 'References.': [797], 'Index.': [798]}, 'cited_by_api_url': 'https://api.openalex.org/works?filter=cites:W1911281453', 'counts_by_year': [{'year': 2024, 'cited_by_count': 31}, {'year': 2023, 'cited_by_count': 41}, {'year': 2022, 'cited_by_count': 53}, {'year': 2021, 'cited_by_count': 57}, {'year': 2020, 'cited_by_count': 56}, {'year': 2019, 'cited_by_count': 87}, {'year': 2018, 'cited_by_count': 66}, {'year': 2017, 'cited_by_count': 87}, {'year': 2016, 'cited_by_count': 110}, {'year': 2015, 'cited_by_count': 104}, {'year': 2014, 'cited_by_count': 121}, {'year': 2013, 'cited_by_count': 117}, {'year': 2012, 'cited_by_count': 106}], 'updated_date': '2024-12-30T21:13:14.966497', 'created_date': '2016-06-24'}