Title: Classification of Indian Major Seaports Using Hierarchical Grouping Method and Their Demand Estimation Models
Abstract: India has a long coastline, spanning 7516.6 kilometers, constituting one of the biggest peninsulas in the world. It is serviced by 13 major ports (12 government owned and 1 private) and 187 minor and ports. Indian ports are classified as Major, Intermediate and Minor ports; this classification has an administrative significance. However, the words major, intermediate and minor” do not have a strict association with the traffic volumes served by these ports. There is no systematic study that classifies Indian ports from the view of temporal variation of cargo traffic. In this study the authors have devised an approach for port classification based on temporal cargo variation and applied the same to the major ports in India. Based on the analysis the authors propose to classify the major seaports into five groups. It is found that four-year Annual Average Cargo Share for seaports within each group is comparable. The authors have also developed regression and time series models for estimating demand in these ports. The annual average total traffic handled by the major ports is 55.35 million tons for the last five years. The 5 years average freight growth rate is about 6.6% for total traffic at all the major ports in India. The models were developed by cargo operation and port class. The average prediction error from the developed models are within 8% at most of the ports.
Publication Year: 2014
Publication Date: 2014-01-01
Language: en
Type: article
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Cited By Count: 1
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